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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">politicalscience</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Вестник РГГУ. Серия “Политология. История. Международные отношения.”</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>RSUH/RGGU Bulletin Series "Political Science. History. International Relations"</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">2073-6339</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Издательский центр Российского государственного гуманитарного университета</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.28995/2073-6339-2018-1-116-135</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">politicalscience-190</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>СТРАНЫ И РЕГИОНЫ МИРА: ДИНАМИКА РАЗВИТИЯ И МОДЕЛИ ВЗАИМОДЕЙСТВИЯ</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>COUNTRIES AND REGIONS OF THE WORLD: DEVELOPMENT DYNAMICS AND MODELS OF COOPERATION</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Трансформация, стабилизация или консервация: политический кризис 2014-2017 гг. в Юго-Восточной Европе</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Transformation, Stabilization or Conservation: the Political Crisis of 2014-2017 in South-Eastern Europe</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Пивоваренко</surname><given-names>А. А.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Pivovarenko</surname><given-names>A. A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Александр А. Пивоваренко, кандидат исторических наук</p><p>119991, Москва, Ленинский проспект, д. 32А</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Alexander А. Pivovarenko, PhD in History</p><p>bld. 32A, Leninskii av., Moscow, Russia, 119991</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">aleksandar.a.p@ya.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Институт славяноведения Российской академии наук</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Russian Academy of Sciences Institute of Slavonic Studies</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2018</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>24</day><month>11</month><year>2018</year></pub-date><volume>0</volume><issue>1</issue><fpage>116</fpage><lpage>135</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Пивоваренко А.А., 2018</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2018</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Пивоваренко А.А.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Pivovarenko A.A.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://politicalscience.rsuh.ru/jour/article/view/190">https://politicalscience.rsuh.ru/jour/article/view/190</self-uri><abstract><p>С 2013 г. в целом ряде государств Центральной и ЮгоВосточной Европы произошли политические кризисы, обнажившие системные проблемы как этих стран, так и региона в целом. Одновременно протекают кризисы более высокого порядка, связанные с острыми вызовами европейской интеграции и евро-атлантической безопасности, а также ухудшением отношений России и Запада. Все это требует критического переосмысления процессов, развивавшихся в регионе с 1991 г. В статье дается оценка некоторым итогам постсоциалистической трансформации в Юго-Восточной Европе в контексте текущей политической ситуации. Используя традиционные методы исторического исследования (нарративный, ретроспективный, сравнительный, структурный) в сочетании со страноведческим и регионоведческим анализом, автор показывает, что результаты «демократического транзита» не столь однозначны. Социально-экономический кризис, структурные проблемы, сохранение и утверждение авторитарной формы правления наряду с сохраняющимися этнополитическими вопросами, демонстрируют, что традиционный взгляд на постсоциалистическую трансформацию как на поступательный переход от социалистической авторитарной к капиталистической демократической государственной формации, сегодня терпит неудачу. Отсутствие современных подходов к оценке ситуации в регионе отражает неопределенное будущее Юго-Восточной Европы, которая, по всей видимости, возвращается к исторической роли «игрового поля» для великих держав.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>Since the year 2013 the vast group of states in Central and South-Eastern Europe have suffered political crisis. It exposed the systemic problems of these countries - as well as the problems of the whole region. These local crises are taking place along with the crises on the higher level - the crisis of the European integration, of the Euro-Atlantic Security, accompanying the deterioration of the relations between the West and Russia. All this shows that the reevaluation of the processes that have developed since 1991 in Europe is needed. The author of the article gives his estimation of the results of the post-socialist transformation in South-Eastern Europe in the context of the current political situation in the countries. Using traditional historical methodology (narrative, retrospective, comparative and structural methods) as well as the country and area studies, he shows that the results of the transformation are not so unambiguous. The socio-economic crisis, the structural problems, the rise of authoritarism along with the remaining ethnical issues show that the traditional view on the transformation as a progressive transition from the authoritarian socialist to the democratic capitalist state system has failed. The lack of a modern approach that might reflect all current regional trends demonstrates the uncertain future of South-Eastern Europe which is probably returning to its historical role of a playground for the Great Powers.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>Юго-Восточная Европа</kwd><kwd>Сербия</kwd><kwd>Хорватия</kwd><kwd>Босния и Герцеговина</kwd><kwd>Черногория</kwd><kwd>Македония</kwd><kwd>постсоциалистическая трансформация</kwd><kwd>популизм</kwd><kwd>евроскептицизм</kwd><kwd>авторитаризм</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>South-Eastern Europe</kwd><kwd>Serbia</kwd><kwd>Croatia</kwd><kwd>Bosnia and Herzegovina</kwd><kwd>Montenegro</kwd><kwd>Macedonia</kwd><kwd>post-socialist transformation</kwd><kwd>populism</kwd><kwd>euroscepticism</kwd><kwd>authoritarism</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Россия и Центрально-Восточная Европа: взаимоотношения в 2014-2015 гг. / отв. ред. 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