politicalscienceВестник РГГУ. Серия “Политология. История. Международные отношения.”RSUH/RGGU Bulletin Series "Political Science. History. International Relations"2073-6339Издательский центр Российского государственного гуманитарного университета10.28995/2073-6339-2024-5-12-34politicalscience-659Research ArticleСТРАНЫ И РЕГИОНЫ МИРА: ДИНАМИКА РАЗВИТИЯ И МОДЕЛИ ВЗАИМОДЕЙСТВИЯCOUNTRIES AND REGIONS OF THE WORLD: DEVELOPMENT DYNAMICS AND MODELS OF COOPERATIONФакторы социально-политической (не)стабильности в Западной АфрикеFactors of socio-political (in)stability in West AfricaШишкинаА. Р.ShishkinaA. R.

Алиса Р. Шишкина

101000, Москва, ул. Мясницкая, д. 20; 123001, ул. Спиридоновка, д. 30/1, Москва

Alisa R. Shishkina

20, Myasnitskaya St., Moscow, 101000; 30/1, Spiridonovka St., Moscow, 123001

ashishkina@hse.ruАппахД. Б.AppahJ. B.

Джафет Бондзи Аппах

Japheth Bondzie Appah

20, Myasnitskaya St., Moscow, 101000

dappakh@edu.hse.ruКоротаевА. В.KorotayevA. V.

Андрей В. Коротаев

101000, Москва, ул. Мясницкая, д. 20; 123001, Москва, ул. Спиридоновка, д. 30/1

Andrei V. Korotayev

20, Myasnitskaya St., Moscow, 101000; 30/1 Spiridonovka St., Moscow, 123001

akorotaev@hse.ruНациональный исследовательский университет «Высшая школа экономики»; Институт Африки Российской академии наукРоссияHSE University; Institute for African Studies, Russian Academy of SciencesRussian FederationНациональный исследовательский университет «Высшая школа экономики»РоссияHSE UniversityRussian Federation202413122024051234Copyright © Шишкина А.Р., Аппах Д.Б., Коротаев А.В., 20242024Шишкина А.Р., Аппах Д.Б., Коротаев А.В.Shishkina A.R., Appah J.B., Korotayev A.V.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://politicalscience.rsuh.ru/jour/article/view/659

В последнее время Западная Африка представлена в исследовательской литературе как эпицентр социально-политической нестабильности. Это в наибольшей степени касается таких стран, как Мали, Нигерия или Буркина-Фасо. Однако стоит отметить, что, несмотря на ряд факторов, которые могли бы привести к потенциальной дестабилизации в Гане, эта страна в последние годы характеризуется довольно высоким уровнем социально-политической стабильности. Данное исследование направлено на определение факторов, вызывающих дестабилизацию политического режима в Западной Африке, путем оценки важных показателей государственного управления, социально-политической стабильности, экономического развития, а также некоторых исторических событий. В статье используется подход смешанных методов, а также качественный сравнительный анализ (QCA) в качестве инструмента анализа. Авторы приходят к выводу, что среди дестабилизирующих факторов в изучаемом регионе наиболее значимыми можно считать следующие: слабые механизмы подотчетности в государстве, несовершенные структуры управления и коррупция. При этом, если речь идет о Гане, то в данном случае основными факторами стабилизации ситуации в стране становятся такие показатели, как развитая медиаинфраструктура, активное гражданское общество, инициативы руководства страны по формированию межрелигиозной толерантности и сотрудничества, а также общая культура мира, присущая ганцам.

Recently, West Africa is represented in the research literature as the epicenter of socio-political instability. That is most relevant for such countries as Mali, Nigeria or Burkina Faso. However, it is worth saying that, despite a number of factors that could lead to potential destabilization in Ghana, the country has been characterized in recent years by a fairly high level of socio-political stability. The present study seeks to determine the factors causing political regime destabilization in West Africa by evaluating important governance indicators, sociopolitical stability, economic advancement, and historical occurrences. The paper uses a mixed-methods approach as well as qualitative comparative analysis (QCA) as an analysis tool. The authors conclude that among the destabilizing factors in the region under study, the following can be considered the most significant: weak mechanisms of accountability within the state, deficient governance frameworks, and corruption. Moreover, if we are talking about Ghana, in that case such indicators as developed media infrastructure, active civil society, initiatives of the country’s leadership to create inter-religious tolerance and cooperation, as well as the general culture of peace inherent in Ghanaians, become the main factors stabilizing the situation in the country.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.