Preview

RSUH/RGGU Bulletin Series "Political Science. History. International Relations"

Advanced search

Transformation, Stabilization or Conservation: the Political Crisis of 2014-2017 in South-Eastern Europe

https://doi.org/10.28995/2073-6339-2018-1-116-135

Abstract

Since the year 2013 the vast group of states in Central and South-Eastern Europe have suffered political crisis. It exposed the systemic problems of these countries - as well as the problems of the whole region. These local crises are taking place along with the crises on the higher level - the crisis of the European integration, of the Euro-Atlantic Security, accompanying the deterioration of the relations between the West and Russia. All this shows that the reevaluation of the processes that have developed since 1991 in Europe is needed. The author of the article gives his estimation of the results of the post-socialist transformation in South-Eastern Europe in the context of the current political situation in the countries. Using traditional historical methodology (narrative, retrospective, comparative and structural methods) as well as the country and area studies, he shows that the results of the transformation are not so unambiguous. The socio-economic crisis, the structural problems, the rise of authoritarism along with the remaining ethnical issues show that the traditional view on the transformation as a progressive transition from the authoritarian socialist to the democratic capitalist state system has failed. The lack of a modern approach that might reflect all current regional trends demonstrates the uncertain future of South-Eastern Europe which is probably returning to its historical role of a playground for the Great Powers.

About the Author

A. A. Pivovarenko
Russian Academy of Sciences Institute of Slavonic Studies
Russian Federation

Alexander А. Pivovarenko, PhD in History

bld. 32A, Leninskii av., Moscow, Russia, 119991



References

1. Orlik II., ed. Russia and Central-Southeastern Europe: relations in 2014-2015. Moscow: Institut ekonomiki RAN Publ.; 2016. 378 p. (In Russ.)

2. President Jean Claude Juncker’s State of the Union Address 2017 [Internet]. European Commission. Press Release Database. (data obrashcheniya 23 Sept. 2017). URL: http://europa.eu/rapid/press-release_SPEECH-17-3165_en.htm

3. Ofitserov-Belskii D. Continuity and Variability in Eastern Europe. Evolution of the Post-Soviet Space: Past, Present and Future.Moscow: NP RSMD Publ.; 2017. P. 215-26. (In Russ.)

4. CIA The World Factbook [Internet]. (data obrashcheniya 23 Sept. 2017). URL: https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/

5. In Slovenia the new party, Miro Cerar (SMC) wins the general election. [Internet] // Foundation Robert Schuman. 2014. July 16. (data obrashcheniya 23 Sept. 2017). URL: http://www.robert-schuman.eu/en/eem/1527-in-slovenia-the-new-partymiro-cerar-smc-wins-the-general-election

6. Serbia Protests: Thousands Demand Vucic’s Resignation [Internet]. Balkan Insight. 2017. April 10. (data obrashcheniya 5 oct. 2017). URL: http://www.balkaninsight.com/en/article/new-anti-govt-protests-starting-in-serbia-04-10-2017

7. Pivovarenko AA. The Results of the Presidential Elections in Croatia [Internet]. Russian Council on Foreign Affairs. 2015. 14 Jan. (data obrashcheniya 23 Sept. 2017). URL: http://russiancouncil.ru/analytics-and-comments/analytics/itogiprezidentskikh-vyborov-v-khorvatii/ (In Russ.)

8. Nikiforov KV. Four Aspects of the Transformation in Eastern Europe. V: Nikiforov KV., ed. Between Moscow and Brussels. Moscow: Institut slavyanovedeniya RAN Publ.; 2016. p. 10-26. (In Russ.)

9. Zagreb: Trg maršala Tita postao Trg Republike Hrvatske [Internet]. Hrvatska Radiotelevizija. 01.09.2017. (data obrashcheniya 5 Sept. 2017). URL: http://vijesti.hrt.hr/403004/gradska-skupstina-danas-o-preimenovanju-trga-marsala-tita

10. Guskova EY. The Protest against the dictatorship of Milo Djukanovic in Montenegro (II) [Internet]. Strategic Culture Foundation. 2015. 14 oct. (data obrashcheniya 23 oct. 2017). URL: https://www.fondsk.ru/news/2015/10/14/protest-protiv-diktatury-milo-dzhukanovicha-v-chernogorii-ii-36060.html (In Russ.)

11. Pivovarenko AA. Political Statistics of Bosnia and Herzegovina [Internet]. Russian Council on Foreign Affairs. 2016. 5 Jul. (data obrashcheniya 16 Sept. 2017). URL: http://russiancouncil.ru/analytics-and-comments/columns/southeasteurope/politicheskaya-statistika-bosnii-i-gertsegoviny/ (In Russ.)

12. Iskenderov PA. The Bosnian Rise and the Serbian Fall [Internet]. Strategic Culture Foundation. 2014. 14 Feb. (data obrashcheniya 17 Aug. 2017). URL: https://www.fondsk.ru/news/2014/02/14/bosnijskaja-vesna-i-serbskij-zakat-25728.html (In Russ.)

13. Republika Srpska: the postponed orange revolution? [Internet] Newsland.com 2016. 16 May. (data obrashcheniya 17 Aug. 2017). URL: https://newsland.com/user/4297693453/content/respublika-serbskaia-otlozhennaia-tsvetnaia-revoliutsiia/5236047 (In Russ.)

14. Završen protest u Banjaluci. Demonstranti tražili smenu vlade RS i poručili: “Njima je došao kraj!” (Video). Blic. 20.09.2017. (data obrashcheniya 17 Aug. 2017). URL: http://www.blic.rs/vesti/republika-srpska/zavrsen-protest-u-banjaluci-demonstranti-trazili-smenu-vlade-rs-i-porucili-njima-je/5sqvtqq

15. Lider SNSD-a / Dodik: Mogu se kandidirati za člana Predsjedništva BiH [Internet]. Radiosarajevo.ba. 03.07.2017. (data obrashcheniya 17 Aug. 2017). URL: https://www.radiosarajevo.ba/vijesti/bosna-i-hercegovina/dodik-mogu-da-sekandidujem-za-clana-predsjednistva-bih/267478

16. Osnovan Nezavisni blok, interes građana veliki [Internet]. (data obrashcheniya 17 Aug. 2017). URL: http://www.nezavisne.com/novosti/bih/osnovan-Nezavisni-blok-interes-gradjana-veliki/442456

17. Koloskov EA. A Country Without a Name: International Aspect of the Establishment of the Macedonian State (1991-2001). Moscow: Institut slavyanovedeniya RAN Publ.; 2013. 276 p. (In Russ.)

18. Сепаратистички документ, терористички ултиматум во основа: Ова е целос-ниот текст на „Тиранската Платформа“ [Internet]. Infomax.mk. 2017. 08 април. (data obrashcheniya 15 Apr. 2017). URL: http://infomax.mk/wp/сепаратистички-документ-терористич/

19. Capussela AL. Statebuilding in Kosovo. Democracy, corruption and the EU in the Balkans. London; New York: I.B. Tauris & Co Ltd Publ.; 2015. 320 p.

20. Statement by Zahir Tanin, Special Representative of the Secretary General and Head of UNMIK [Internet]. Security Council. Debate on UNMIK. New York. 2017. Aug. 16. (data obrashcheniya 17 Aug. 2017). URL: https://unmik.unmissions.org/sites/default/files/srsg_zahir_tanin_statement_to_the_security_council_16_august_2017.pdf

21. Record number of over 1.2 million first time asylum seekers registered in 2015. Eurostat news release. 44/2016 [Internet]. Eurostat news release. 44/2016. 2016. March 4. (data obrashcheniya 17 Aug. 2017). URL: http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/documents/2995521/7203832/3-04032016-AP-EN.pdf/790eba01-381c-4163-bcd2-a54959b99ed6


Review

For citations:


Pivovarenko A.A. Transformation, Stabilization or Conservation: the Political Crisis of 2014-2017 in South-Eastern Europe. RSUH/RGGU Bulletin Series "Political Science. History. International Relations". 2018;(1):116-135. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.28995/2073-6339-2018-1-116-135

Views: 375


Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.


ISSN 2073-6339 (Print)